Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

March 2017

Water Supply Forecast as of March 1, 2017 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2017
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2016 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 1,016,000 101 96-106 92 43/99 88
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 170,000 96 84-111 74 39/99 74
Spray River near Banff 382,000 106 99-113 93 56/99 78
Kananaskis River 367,000 96 86-107 77 33/99 81
Bow River at Calgary 2,322,000 101 96-106 91 45/99 80
Elbow River 183,000 90 81-113 72 39/99 72
Highwood River 485,000 87 68-106 52 35/99 55


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca