Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
June 2015
Water Supply Forecast as of June 1, 2015 - Milk River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for June 1 to September 30, 2015 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations |
Volume in dam3 |
Volume as a % of Median |
Probable Range as a % of Median |
Potential Minimum as % of Median |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-May 2015 Volume as a % of Median | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Milk River at Western Crossing |
7,300* | 75 | 26-162 | 15 | 22/98 | 80** | 27/98 | |
Milk River at Milk River |
14,600* | 75 | 39-181 | 7 | 25/98 | 43** | 10/98 | |
Milk River at Eastern Crossing |
22,000* | 74 | 45-103 | 20 | 30/98 | 44** | 11/98 |
* NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2015 forecast minus the recorded volume to date ** Recorded 2015 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Median is calculated for period 1981 to 2008 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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