Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
June 2004
Table 2b - Water Supply Forecast as of June 1, 2004 - Milk River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for June 1 to September 30, 2004 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations |
Volume in dam3 |
Volume as a % of Median |
Probable Range as a % of Median |
Reasonable Minimum as % of Median |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-May 2004 Volume as a % of Median | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Milk River at Western Crossing |
9,030* | 59 | 38-97 | 18 | 27/72** | 40*** | 13/72** | |
Milk River at Milk River |
17,300* | 67 | 48-100 | 30 | 26/91 | 32*** | 12/91 | |
Milk River at Eastern Crossing |
19,300* | 62 | 43-95 | 25 | 28/91 | 38*** | 18/91 |
* NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2004 forecast minus the recorded volume to date Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically ** Western Crossing data is from 1931-2001 *** Recorded 2004 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Median is calculated for period 1912 to 2001 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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