Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
February 2017
| Water Supply Forecast as of February 1, 2017 - Bow River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
| Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2017 | ||||||
| Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average |
Potential Minimum as % of Average |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-September 2016 Volume as a % of Average |
| Bow River at Banff | 979,000 | 97 | 91-104 | 87 | 34/99 | 88 |
| Lake Minnewanka Inflow | 164,000 | 92 | 81-107 | 71 | 34/99 | 74 |
| Spray River near Banff | 344,000 | 96 | 89-103 | 83 | 37/99 | 78 |
| Kananaskis River | 339,000 | 89 | 78-100 | 69 | 20/99 | 81 |
| Bow River at Calgary | 2,171,000 | 94 | 89-99 | 85 | 31/99 | 80 |
| Elbow River | 168,000 | 83 | 74-105 | 65 | 31/99 | 72 |
| Highwood River | 490,000 | 88 | 71-116 | 55 | 37/99 | 55 |
|
Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009
NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca
