Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
February 2016
Water Supply Forecast as of February 1, 2016 - Bow River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2016 | ||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average |
Potential Minimum as % of Average |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-September 2015 Volume as a % of Average |
Bow River at Banff | 969,000 | 96 | 91-101 | 87 | 33/99 | 89 |
Lake Minnewanka Inflow | 170,000 | 96 | 86-106 | 78 | 38/99 | 70 |
Spray River near Banff | 363,000 | 101 | 94-108 | 88 | 45/99 | 68 |
Kananaskis River | 379,000 | 99 | 88-110 | 79 | 38/99 | 80 |
Bow River at Calgary | 2,270,000 | 98 | 94-103 | 90 | 41/99 | 81 |
Elbow River | 209,000 | 103 | 98-109 | 93 | 57/99 | 83 |
Highwood River | 517,000 | 93 | 78-108 | 65 | 42/99 | 73 |
Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009
NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca