Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
April 2014
Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2014 - North Saskatchewan River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for April 1 to September 30, 2014 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average |
Potential Minimum as % of Average |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March 2014 Volume as a % of Average | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Lake Abraham Inflow | 2,096,000* | 99 | 94-105 | 89 | 41/100 | 137** | 89/100 | |
Brazeau Reservoir Inflow | 1,464,000* | 97 | 81-115 | 67 | 47/100 | 62** | 14/100 | |
North Saskatchewan River at Edmonton | 5,197,000* | 97 | 90-105 | 83 | 44/100 | 71** | 25/100 |
*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2014 forecast minus the recorded volume to date   Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period 1981 to 2010 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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