Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
April 2013
Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2013 - Milk River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for April 1 to September 30, 2013 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations |
Volume in dam3 |
Volume as a % of Median |
Probable Range as a % of Median |
Potential Minimum as % of Median |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March 2013 Volume as a % of Median | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Milk River at Western Crossing |
30,800* | 95 | 67-146 | 43 | 30/98 | 204** | 74/98 | |
Milk River at Milk River |
47,200* | 88 | 65-137 | 44 | 29/98 | 128** | 51/98 | |
Milk River at Eastern Crossing |
63,500* | 101 | 75-126 | 53 | 27/98 | 85** | 33/98 |
* NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2013 forecast minus the recorded volume to date ** Recorded 2013 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Median is calculated for period 1981 to 2008 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca